Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.002707 0.002897 0.003101 0.003340 0.003613 0.003916 0.004284
2024-10-20 0.002341 0.002581 0.002855 0.003194 0.003611 0.004114 0.004786
2024-10-27 0.002150 0.002426 0.002754 0.003182 0.003740 0.004469 0.005539
2024-11-03 0.001917 0.002192 0.002526 0.002975 0.003583 0.004417 0.005725
2024-11-10 0.001833 0.002127 0.002496 0.003011 0.003743 0.004812 0.006653
2024-11-17 0.001773 0.002086 0.002489 0.003071 0.003938 0.005290 0.007872
2024-11-24 0.001691 0.002010 0.002427 0.003045 0.003998 0.005564 0.008823
2024-12-01 0.001653 0.001986 0.002432 0.003112 0.004209 0.006132 0.010645
2024-12-08 0.001593 0.001929 0.002387 0.003099 0.004284 0.006471 0.012143
2024-12-15 0.001528 0.001860 0.002318 0.003043 0.004278 0.006649 0.013340
2024-12-22 0.001504 0.001847 0.002329 0.003109 0.004494 0.007336 0.016709
2024-12-29 0.001480 0.001833 0.002336 0.003170 0.004708 0.008088 0.021444
2025-01-05 0.001429 0.001779 0.002285 0.003138 0.004754 0.008499 0.025809
2025-01-12 0.001359 0.001697 0.002186 0.003017 0.004611 0.008392 0.027259
2025-01-19 0.001322 0.001660 0.002154 0.003010 0.004699 0.008947 0.035195
2025-01-26 0.001246 0.001562 0.002025 0.002823 0.004391 0.008289 0.031384
2025-02-02 0.001225 0.001546 0.002021 0.002857 0.004554 0.009082 0.045354
2025-02-09 0.001211 0.001538 0.002029 0.002912 0.004774 0.010177 0.080496
2025-02-16 0.001180 0.001505 0.001996 0.002888 0.004811 0.010675 0.125348
2025-02-23 0.001169 0.001500 0.002008 0.002950 0.005062 0.012150 0.717945
2025-03-02 0.001145 0.001474 0.001982 0.002938 0.005129 0.012930 NaN
2025-03-09 0.001114 0.001437 0.001938 0.002887 0.005090 0.013208 NaN
2025-03-16 0.001106 0.001434 0.001951 0.002947 0.005354 0.015259 NaN